A Presidential campaign that was on life support a week ago, went from being a seemingly embarrassing conclusion to a storied political career to regaining the frontrunner status in the Democratic primary.
By David Todd McCarty | Wednesday, March 4, 2020
He’s back! Pundits had left old Uncle Joe for dead as he had continued to struggle to win a single contest, or raise significant amounts of money. He looked to be one state away from full implosion, so he spent all his remaining time and money in South Carolina to try to breath life back into his campaign and regain some momentum going into Super Tuesday where a third of electorate would be voting across 14 states, many of them sympathetic to Biden’s strengths. It worked.
Former Vice President Joe Biden capitalized on his dominant performance in South Carolina on Saturday, with a very strong showing on Super Tuesday, finally proving that he not only has a strong appeal among Black voters, but across wide geographic and ideological swaths of the electorate. Biden proved pretty convincingly that he can unite a broad coalition of voters including Black voters, working class whites, and college-educated whites, making him a formidable candidate going into the general election.
Elizabeth Warren and Mike Bloomberg are still in the race, with Bloomberg managing to eek out a single win in American Samoa, and Warren coming in an embarrassing third in her home state of Massachusetts. Neither candidate seems particularly viable at this point, with no real path to the nomination, but neither has dropped out yet.
Biden continues to struggle with hispanics and younger voters which Bernie carried fairly easily, while Bernie struggles with Blacks and older voters, that are stalwarts for Biden. But even with those strengths and weaknesses, it’s unclear who will come out on top, and if any one candidate can get a majority of delegates before the convention.
According to exit polls, nearly 3 in 10 decided who they were voting for in the last few days, 47% of those late deciders say they voted for Biden. Momentum coming out of Super Tuesday, combined with well-timed endorsements and key drop-outs from Buttigieg and Klobuchar, and a positive media narrative have clearly coalesced a large portion of the Democratic establishment around Biden’s chances for winning.
It will be interesting to see how that narrative moves forward, and what the backlash will be from pro-Bernie, anti-establishment supporters and if can they be convinced to back a single Democrat to beat Donald Trump in the general election.